Prisma 2 Case

Prisma 2 Case

Base Grade Rare pool · since Apr 12, 2026 -6.7% · 7 d-14.9% · 37 d

A weapon case released Mar 24, 2020: 17 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 56 knives across 4 models. It has left the active drop pool and now drops only rarely, so supply is shrinking.

Item facts

TypeWeapon caseopens with a key
ReleasedMar 24, 2020first Steam Market sale
Key$2.49store only, not tradable
Rare special0.26%≈ 1 in 385 openings
Knives56 variantsacross 4 models
Sold / day~2.1Kall markets
LiquidityHighhow fast it sells
Fair price$1.02suggested
164d range$0.14 – $1.39lowest ask, min–max
Steam spread$0.1206% · ask vs buy order

What's inside & drop odds

73 items

73 items: 17 community finishes plus 56 knives in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Rare Special (knife / gloves)0.26% · 56 knives across 4 models · floors $33.61 to $2,596.60
Talon Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Talon Knife (Doppler Ruby)$2,596.60to $4,877.67 · ST $2,646.39+
Talon Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Talon Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$2,577.48to $2,671.88 · ST $3,000.00+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Ruby)$1,662.00to $1,761.46 · ST $1,662.00+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$1,650.85to $1,839.00 · ST $1,799.00+
Talon Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Talon Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$1,536.39to $1,985.11 · ST $1,838.96+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$972.65to $1,184.04 · ST $972.65+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$949.88to $1,042.69 · ST $1,044.93+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$722.57to $874.39 · ST $883.68+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$714.08to $837.45 · ST $806.18+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$649.70to $717.65 · ST $1,007.09+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Ruby)$608.42to $810.96 · ST $626.96+
Talon Knife (Doppler)
Talon Knife (Doppler)$520.79to $819.00 · ST $806.18+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$520.79to $880.96 · ST $903.11+
Talon Knife (Marble Fade)
Talon Knife (Marble Fade)$512.22to $546.31 · ST $543.75+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$463.35to $656.81 · ST $555.02+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$454.96to $544.85 · ST $507.54+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$428.50to $594.55 · ST $469.35+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$425.44to $636.65 · ST $522.74+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler)$423.55to $472.12 · ST $461.34+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$423.55to $472.12 · ST $469.00+
Talon Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Talon Knife (Tiger Tooth)$422.81to $480.00 · ST $425.30+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$337.36
Talon Knife (Vanilla)
Talon Knife (Vanilla)$287.52
Stiletto Knife (Marble Fade)
Stiletto Knife (Marble Fade)$273.70to $320.84 · ST $298.00+
Talon Knife (Damascus Steel)
Talon Knife (Damascus Steel)$271.50to $320.00 · ST $301.90+
Stiletto Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Stiletto Knife (Tiger Tooth)$252.34to $296.09 · ST $271.38+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$250.92to $308.34 · ST $285.03+
Talon Knife (Ultraviolet)
Talon Knife (Ultraviolet)$228.38to $787.32 · ST $256.41+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$221.25to $298.34 · ST $263.92+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$217.94to $336.85 · ST $261.41+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$217.79to $324.54 · ST $261.03+
Talon Knife (Rust Coat)
Talon Knife (Rust Coat)$217.67to $250.00 · ST $244.72+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Ruby)$216.15to $322.42 · ST $329.99+
Ursus Knife (Doppler)
Ursus Knife (Doppler)$214.43to $289.00 · ST $260.07+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$180.56to $263.16 · ST $232.61+
Stiletto Knife (Vanilla)
Stiletto Knife (Vanilla)$177.64to $179.53 · ST $177.64+
Stiletto Knife (Damascus Steel)
Stiletto Knife (Damascus Steel)$161.66to $194.28 · ST $172.85+
Stiletto Knife (Ultraviolet)
Stiletto Knife (Ultraviolet)$144.04to $386.53 · ST $162.50+
Ursus Knife (Marble Fade)
Ursus Knife (Marble Fade)$137.87to $168.68 · ST $156.82+
Stiletto Knife (Rust Coat)
Stiletto Knife (Rust Coat)$123.11to $136.97 · ST $128.84+
Ursus Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Ursus Knife (Tiger Tooth)$115.84to $148.99 · ST $125.11+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$104.25to $208.28 · ST $138.45+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$104.12to $222.01 · ST $134.31+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$101.59to $180.40 · ST $138.59+
Navaja Knife (Doppler)
Navaja Knife (Doppler)$90.35to $161.62 · ST $128.89+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$90.35to $199.25 · ST $128.89+
Navaja Knife (Marble Fade)
Navaja Knife (Marble Fade)$74.90to $103.62 · ST $92.67+
Ursus Knife (Ultraviolet)
Ursus Knife (Ultraviolet)$67.57to $278.43 · ST $86.93+
Ursus Knife (Vanilla)
Ursus Knife (Vanilla)$67.44
Ursus Knife (Damascus Steel)
Ursus Knife (Damascus Steel)$65.87to $81.83 · ST $78.91+
Navaja Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Navaja Knife (Tiger Tooth)$59.71to $78.94 · ST $78.28+
Ursus Knife (Rust Coat)
Ursus Knife (Rust Coat)$47.87to $58.21 · ST $54.69+
Navaja Knife (Ultraviolet)
Navaja Knife (Ultraviolet)$37.90to $175.11 · ST $50.61+
Navaja Knife (Damascus Steel)
Navaja Knife (Damascus Steel)$37.26to $49.28 · ST $50.81+
Navaja Knife (Vanilla)
Navaja Knife (Vanilla)$34.27
Navaja Knife (Rust Coat)
Navaja Knife (Rust Coat)$33.61to $43.30 · ST $45.21+

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost$3.58case $1.09 + key $2.49Expected value$1.78per openingYou get back50¢ / $1before selling feesTo hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $1,376.38 at the current opening cost.≈ 385 openings≈ $1,376.38 at current prices
TierOddsAvg item valueAdds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves)avg over 24 of 28 priced0.26%$267.64$0.696
Covert0.64%$57.96$0.371
Classified3.20%$6.59$0.211
Restricted15.98%$0.972$0.155
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.435$0.347

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value.You get back 50% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price →

Prisma 2 Case prices across 24 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Official
Steam Market
No cash-outBank card · PayPal
$2.07+103% more than CSFloat
View
Best Price
P2P10726 offers
$1.02−51% vs Steam
View Deal
#2
Instant sell120 offersKYC
$1.03+$0.01
View Deal
#3
Marketplace471 offersKYC
$1.04+$0.02
View Deal
#4
Instant sell17204 offers
$1.05+$0.03
View Deal
#5
Instant sell17206 offersKYC
$1.05+$0.03
View Deal
#6
Marketplace17827 offersKYC
$1.07+$0.05
View Deal
#7
China market19181 offersKYC
$1.07+$0.05
View Deal
#8
China market1941 offersKYC
$1.08+$0.05
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $1.02 -26% · 164d

Lowest ask · 60 snapshots since Apr 12, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the Prisma 2 Case drops and opens

Valve retired Prisma 2 Case, first sold Mar 24, 2020, from the weekly rotation, leaving only the sharply reduced rare-pool drop, so what trades today is mostly circulating old supply — currently from $1.02 across 24 marketplaces. History says such cases gain value as the float of copies dries up; the drop-pool registry dates every change. Drop-pool registry →

Budget $2.49 for the store key on every opening — Valve made keys untradable in 2019, so no market discount exists — plus the case, which marketplaces usually sell below the cost of waiting on a drop. Expected return per opening: $1.78 against $3.58, about 50% before selling fees. For one particular skin, the direct buy is the better trade; tiles above carry the comparisons.

From this page's data: 73 items priced live, the 37-day median case price moved -14.9%. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

Prisma 2 Case questions

What is inside the Prisma 2 Case?

17 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by M4A1-S (Player Two) and Glock-18 (Bullet Queen), plus a rare special slot: 56 knife variants across 4 models. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the knife odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $3.58 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $1,376.38.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the Prisma 2 Case worth opening?

The numbers say no: $1.78 expected return against $3.58 spent per opening (50%). If the goal is a skin rather than the thrill, direct purchase is cheaper.

Will the Prisma 2 Case be discontinued?

It already rotated out of the active pool (rare pool as of our Apr 12, 2026 registry snapshot). It still drops rarely — cases never leave the game entirely. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

Buying it is the practical route — from $1.02 across the markets in the table above. It no longer drops weekly.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →