Revolution Case

Revolution Case

Base Grade Active drop · since Jan 31, 2023 -7% · 7 d-13.4% · 37 d

A weapon case released Jan 31, 2023: 17 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 24 gloves across 6 models. It is in the active weekly drop pool, so supply is still growing.

Item facts

TypeWeapon caseopens with a key
ReleasedJan 31, 2023first Steam Market sale
Key$2.49store only, not tradable
Rare special0.26%≈ 1 in 385 openings
Gloves24 variantsacross 6 models
Sold / day~37.4Kall markets
LiquidityHighhow fast it sells
Fair price$0.179suggested
164d range$0.02 – $0.34lowest ask, min–max

What's inside & drop odds

41 items

41 items: 17 community finishes plus 24 gloves in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost$2.69case $0.200 + key $2.49Expected value$0.924per openingYou get back34¢ / $1before selling feesTo hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $1,035.65 at the current opening cost.≈ 385 openings≈ $1,035.65 at current prices
TierOddsAvg item valueAdds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves)0.26%$153.86$0.400
Covert0.64%$35.19$0.225
Classified3.20%$3.94$0.126
Restricted15.98%$0.538$0.086
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.109$0.087

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value.You get back 34% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price →

Revolution Case prices across 20 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Best Price
China market41375 offersKYC
$0.181
View Deal
#2
China market32880 offersKYC
$0.182+$0.00
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#3
Instant sell16856 offers
$0.185+$0.00
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#4
Marketplace43257 offersKYC
$0.190+$0.01
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#5
Instant sell3907 offers
$0.190+$0.01
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#6
P2P7074 offers
$0.198+$0.02
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#7
P2P89753 offers
$0.200+$0.02
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#8
Marketplace1932 offersKYC
$0.200+$0.02
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $0.181 -30% · 164d

Lowest ask · 60 snapshots since Apr 12, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the Revolution Case drops and opens

Because Revolution Case, first sold Jan 31, 2023, is part of the active weekly pool, supply refreshes every week through rank-up drops and the price stays anchored — currently from $0.181 across 20 marketplaces. Rotation out to the rare pool is the usual turning point after which a case starts appreciating; the drop-pool registry keeps the dated history. Drop-pool registry →

Since 2019 keys sell only in the in-game store ($2.49, no resale), and a marketplace copy of the case usually undercuts the value of waiting for a drop. Each opening returns $0.924 on average against its $2.69 price tag, or 34% pre-fees. Direct purchase wins whenever a specific skin is the goal; use the tiles above for prices.

From this page's data: 41 items priced live, the 37-day median case price moved -13.4%. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

Revolution Case questions

What is inside the Revolution Case?

17 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by M4A4 (Temukau) and AK-47 (Head Shot), plus a rare special slot: 24 glove variants across 6 models. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the rare special odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $2.69 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $1,035.65.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the Revolution Case worth opening?

No by expected value: $0.924 back per $2.69 opening, or 34% of the cost. Treat opening as entertainment, not as a way to acquire skins.

Will the Revolution Case be discontinued?

It has been in the active pool since Jan 31, 2023. Valve does not announce rotations ahead; dated pool changes are tracked in the drop-pool registry. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

It drops free from weekly profile rank-ups, and buying is cheapest from $0.181 on third-party markets: the comparison table is above.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →