Operation Breakout Weapon Case

Operation Breakout Weapon Case

Base Grade Rare pool · since Apr 12, 2026 +2% · 6 d-0.3% · 27 d

A weapon case released Jun 23, 2014: 14 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 13 knives across 1 model. It has left the active drop pool and now drops only rarely, so supply is shrinking.

Item facts

TypeWeapon caseopens with a key
ReleasedJun 23, 2014first Steam Market sale
Key$2.49store only, not tradable
Rare special0.26%≈ 1 in 385 openings
Knives13 variantsacross 1 model
Sold / day~4.2Kall markets
LiquidityHighhow fast it sells
Fair price$7.51suggested
53d range$0.67 – $7.25lowest ask, min–max

What's inside & drop odds

27 items

27 items: 14 community finishes plus 13 knives in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost$10.32case $7.83 + key $2.49Expected value$4.83per openingYou get back47¢ / $1before selling feesTo hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $3,973.20 at the current opening cost.≈ 385 openings≈ $3,973.20 at current prices
TierOddsAvg item valueAdds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves)avg over 12 of 13 priced0.26%$826.44$2.15
Covert0.64%$185.96$1.19
Classified3.20%$21.79$0.697
Restricted15.98%$2.49$0.397
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.501$0.401

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value.You get back 47% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price

Operation Breakout Weapon Case prices across 23 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Best Price
P2P10693 offers
$7.25
View Deal
#2
Marketplace1690 offers
$7.32+$0.07
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#3
Instant sell905 offers
$7.43+$0.18
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#4
Marketplace333 offersKYC
$7.45+$0.20
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#5
Instant sell300 offers
$7.51+$0.26
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#6
Instant sell118 offers
$7.53+$0.28
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#7
China market1909 offersKYC
$7.60+$0.35
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#8
Marketplace36366 offersKYC
$7.60+$0.35
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $7.25 +965% · 53d

Lowest ask · 21 snapshots since Jun 17, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the Operation Breakout Weapon Case drops and opens

The weekly drop for Operation Breakout Weapon Case, first sold Jun 23, 2014, ended when it moved to the rare pool; fresh copies are now scarce and the market recycles existing stock — currently from $7.25 across 24 marketplaces. Scarcity has historically pushed retired cases upward over time — the drop-pool registry records when each rotation happened. Drop-pool registry →

The key comes only from the in-game store at $2.49 (untradable since 2019), while the case itself is normally cheaper bought on a marketplace than farmed as a drop. Per opening the expected return is $4.83 on a $10.32 spend — roughly 47% back before fees. Buying a specific skin outright beats opening for it; every tile above links to prices.

From this page's data: 27 items priced live, the 27-day median case price moved -0.3%. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

Operation Breakout Weapon Case questions

What is inside the Operation Breakout Weapon Case?

14 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by M4A1-S (Cyrex) and P90 (Asiimov), plus a rare special slot: 13 knife variants across 1 model. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the knife odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $10.32 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $3,973.20.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the Operation Breakout Weapon Case worth opening?

The numbers say no: $4.83 expected return against $10.32 spent per opening (47%). If the goal is a skin rather than the thrill, direct purchase is cheaper.

Will the Operation Breakout Weapon Case be discontinued?

It already rotated out of the active pool (rare pool as of our Apr 12, 2026 registry snapshot). It still drops rarely — cases never leave the game entirely. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

Buying it is the practical route — from $7.25 across the markets in the table above. It no longer drops weekly.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →