eSports 2013 Winter Case

eSports 2013 Winter Case

Base Grade Rare pool · since Apr 12, 2026 -1% · 8 d-11.6% · 28 d

A weapon case released Jul 9, 2014: 12 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 65 knives across 5 models. It has left the active drop pool and now drops only rarely, so supply is shrinking.

Item facts

Type Weapon case opens with a key
Released Jul 9, 2014 first Steam Market sale
Key $2.49 store only, not tradable
Rare special 0.26% ≈ 1 in 385 openings
Knives 65 variants across 5 models
Sold / day ~92 all markets
Liquidity Medium how fast it sells
Fair price $9.73 suggested
202d range $7.69 – $25 lowest ask, min–max
Steam spread $2.59 -21% · ask vs buy order
Steam sales 30d 627 avg 20.9 / day

What's inside & drop odds

77 items

77 items: 12 community finishes plus 65 knives in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Rare Special (knife / gloves) 0.26% · 65 knives across 5 models · floors $37.77 to $1,492.20
Karambit (Fade)
Karambit (Fade) $1,492.20 to $1,800.00 · ST $1,540.00+
Karambit (Vanilla)
Karambit (Vanilla) $850.66
Karambit (Slaughter)
Karambit (Slaughter) $770.16 to $945.73 · ST $860.00+
M9 Bayonet (Fade)
M9 Bayonet (Fade) $716.90 to $1,027.23 · ST $801.05+
M9 Bayonet (Vanilla)
M9 Bayonet (Vanilla) $601.05 to $602.83 · ST $601.05+
Karambit (Blue Steel)
Karambit (Blue Steel) $581.36 to $1,049.00 · ST $626.21+
M9 Bayonet (Slaughter)
M9 Bayonet (Slaughter) $575.27 to $728.21 · ST $599.95+
Karambit (Case Hardened)
Karambit (Case Hardened) $540.29 to $1,408.12 · ST $690.00+
Karambit (Crimson Web)
Karambit (Crimson Web) $478.87 to $5,484.10 · ST $514.23+
Karambit (Stained)
Karambit (Stained) $436.30 to $703.80 · ST $480.00+
M9 Bayonet (Blue Steel)
M9 Bayonet (Blue Steel) $403.89 to $720.61 · ST $404.68+
Karambit (Night)
Karambit (Night) $390.75 to $1,645.99 · ST $391.00+
M9 Bayonet (Case Hardened)
M9 Bayonet (Case Hardened) $378.99 to $1,020.00 · ST $470.92+
M9 Bayonet (Crimson Web)
M9 Bayonet (Crimson Web) $374.78 to $3,978.38 · ST $419.47+
Karambit (Scorched)
Karambit (Scorched) $345.29 to $1,125.96 · ST $369.99+
Karambit (Urban Masked)
Karambit (Urban Masked) $340.03 to $730.00 · ST $350.94+
Karambit (Forest DDPAT)
Karambit (Forest DDPAT) $324.86 to $699.00 · ST $324.86+
Karambit (Safari Mesh)
Karambit (Safari Mesh) $316.21 to $623.03 · ST $325.46+
Karambit (Boreal Forest)
Karambit (Boreal Forest) $310.97 to $1,275.98 · ST $333.26+
M9 Bayonet (Stained)
M9 Bayonet (Stained) $310.93 to $458.00 · ST $333.09+
Bayonet (Fade)
Bayonet (Fade) $296.11 to $435.99 · ST $356.98+
M9 Bayonet (Night)
M9 Bayonet (Night) $276.76 to $945.00 · ST $314.68+
M9 Bayonet (Urban Masked)
M9 Bayonet (Urban Masked) $253.47 to $583.70 · ST $262.72+
M9 Bayonet (Scorched)
M9 Bayonet (Scorched) $249.20 to $635.00 · ST $258.13+
Flip Knife (Fade)
Flip Knife (Fade) $247.62 to $318.98 · ST $286.76+
Bayonet (Slaughter)
Bayonet (Slaughter) $246.44 to $317.65 · ST $319.50+
M9 Bayonet (Forest DDPAT)
M9 Bayonet (Forest DDPAT) $239.07 to $676.70 · ST $257.61+
M9 Bayonet (Boreal Forest)
M9 Bayonet (Boreal Forest) $237.14 to $978.14 · ST $247.71+
M9 Bayonet (Safari Mesh)
M9 Bayonet (Safari Mesh) $231.43 to $900.69 · ST $240.20+
Flip Knife (Slaughter)
Flip Knife (Slaughter) $228.52 to $239.85 · ST $249.95+
Bayonet (Case Hardened)
Bayonet (Case Hardened) $193.91 to $449.99 · ST $250.00+
Bayonet (Vanilla)
Bayonet (Vanilla) $188.19
Bayonet (Crimson Web)
Bayonet (Crimson Web) $159.86 to $1,547.24 · ST $208.53+
Flip Knife (Crimson Web)
Flip Knife (Crimson Web) $148.78 to $1,036.96 · ST $191.79+
Bayonet (Blue Steel)
Bayonet (Blue Steel) $146.86 to $343.31 · ST $198.02+
Flip Knife (Vanilla)
Flip Knife (Vanilla) $140.87
Flip Knife (Case Hardened)
Flip Knife (Case Hardened) $133.94 to $273.89 · ST $150.13+
Flip Knife (Blue Steel)
Flip Knife (Blue Steel) $130.72 to $269.38 · ST $148.63+
Bayonet (Stained)
Bayonet (Stained) $125.97 to $259.99 · ST $159.18+
Bayonet (Night)
Bayonet (Night) $113.69 to $676.12 · ST $154.23+
Bayonet (Urban Masked)
Bayonet (Urban Masked) $109.88 to $408.69 · ST $129.89+
Bayonet (Scorched)
Bayonet (Scorched) $106.73 to $300.00 · ST $130.13+
Bayonet (Safari Mesh)
Bayonet (Safari Mesh) $105.99 to $303.50 · ST $112.60+
Bayonet (Forest DDPAT)
Bayonet (Forest DDPAT) $103.96 to $281.00 · ST $126.92+
Bayonet (Boreal Forest)
Bayonet (Boreal Forest) $102.97 to $322.35 · ST $124.98+
Gut Knife (Fade)
Gut Knife (Fade) $102.54 to $135.17 · ST $130.40+
Flip Knife (Stained)
Flip Knife (Stained) $101.90 to $168.37 · ST $117.73+
Flip Knife (Night)
Flip Knife (Night) $101.12 to $567.78 · ST $127.82+
Flip Knife (Urban Masked)
Flip Knife (Urban Masked) $96.08 to $333.43 · ST $105.99+
Flip Knife (Scorched)
Flip Knife (Scorched) $93.45 to $233.45 · ST $105.09+
Flip Knife (Boreal Forest)
Flip Knife (Boreal Forest) $91.81 to $218.00 · ST $93.83+
Flip Knife (Forest DDPAT)
Flip Knife (Forest DDPAT) $89.70 to $300.21 · ST $97.00+
Flip Knife (Safari Mesh)
Flip Knife (Safari Mesh) $88.39 to $149.98 · ST $91.26+
Gut Knife (Case Hardened)
Gut Knife (Case Hardened) $84.23 to $174.99 · ST $109.49+
Gut Knife (Slaughter)
Gut Knife (Slaughter) $60.97 to $101.93 · ST $120.10+
Gut Knife (Crimson Web)
Gut Knife (Crimson Web) $59.98 to $327.77 · ST $85.79+
Gut Knife (Blue Steel)
Gut Knife (Blue Steel) $51.88 to $159.49 · ST $70.06+
Gut Knife (Vanilla)
Gut Knife (Vanilla) $50.05
Gut Knife (Stained)
Gut Knife (Stained) $46.54 to $109.34 · ST $70.94+
Gut Knife (Night)
Gut Knife (Night) $41.85 to $420.69 · ST $55.02+
Gut Knife (Urban Masked)
Gut Knife (Urban Masked) $40.65 to $155.00 · ST $53.79+
Gut Knife (Boreal Forest)
Gut Knife (Boreal Forest) $40.35 to $130.00 · ST $46.41+
Gut Knife (Scorched)
Gut Knife (Scorched) $39.54 to $400.00 · ST $56.29+
Gut Knife (Forest DDPAT)
Gut Knife (Forest DDPAT) $39.53 to $230.00 · ST $49.04+
Gut Knife (Safari Mesh)
Gut Knife (Safari Mesh) $37.77 to $120.10 · ST $48.95+
Covert 0.64% · avg item $75.76

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost $12.74 case $10.25 + key $2.49 Expected value $8.33 per opening You get back 65¢ / $1 before selling fees To hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $4,904.90 at the current opening cost. ≈ 385 openings ≈ $4,904.90 at current prices
Tier Odds Avg item value Adds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves) avg over 60 of 65 priced 0.26% $320.10 $0.832
Covert 0.64% $75.76 $0.485
Classified 3.20% $42.34 $1.35
Restricted 15.98% $12.21 $1.95
Mil-Spec 79.92% $4.64 $3.71

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value. You get back 65% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price →

eSports 2013 Winter Case prices across 22 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Official
Steam Market
No cash-out Bank card · PayPal
$15.02 +57% more than Skinport
View
Best Price
Marketplace 17 offers KYC
$9.55 −36% vs Steam
View Deal
#2
China market 487 offers KYC
$9.80 +$0.25
View Deal
#3
China market 747 offers KYC
$9.91 +$0.36
View Deal
#4
Marketplace 486 offers
$9.92 +$0.37
View Deal
#5
Instant sell 246 offers
$9.94 +$0.39
View Deal
#6
Marketplace 492 offers KYC
$9.97 +$0.42
View Deal
#7
P2P 996 offers
$9.99 +$0.44
View Deal
#8
Instant sell 52 offers
$10.13 +$0.58
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $9.55 -45% · 202d

Lowest ask · 89 snapshots since Apr 12, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the eSports 2013 Winter Case drops and opens

Valve retired eSports 2013 Winter Case, first sold Jul 9, 2014, from the weekly rotation, leaving only the sharply reduced rare-pool drop, so what trades today is mostly circulating old supply — currently from $9.55 across 22 marketplaces. History says such cases gain value as the float of copies dries up; the drop-pool registry dates every change. Drop-pool registry →

Since 2019 keys sell only in the in-game store ($2.49, no resale), and a marketplace copy of the case usually undercuts the value of waiting for a drop. Each opening returns $8.33 on average against its $12.74 price tag, or 65% pre-fees. Direct purchase wins whenever a specific skin is the goal; use the tiles above for prices.

From this page's data: 77 items priced live, the 28-day median case price moved -11.6%, Steam volume holds near 7 cases sold per day. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

eSports 2013 Winter Case questions

What is inside the eSports 2013 Winter Case?

12 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by M4A4 (X-Ray), plus a rare special slot: 65 knife variants across 5 models. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the knife odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $12.74 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $4,904.90.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the eSports 2013 Winter Case worth opening?

The numbers say no: $8.33 expected return against $12.74 spent per opening (65%). If the goal is a skin rather than the thrill, direct purchase is cheaper.

Will the eSports 2013 Winter Case be discontinued?

It already rotated out of the active pool (rare pool as of our Apr 12, 2026 registry snapshot). It still drops rarely — cases never leave the game entirely. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

Buying it is the practical route — from $9.55 across the markets in the table above. It no longer drops weekly.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →